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Premier League | Gameweek 27
Mar 12, 2023 at 2pm UK
London Stadium
Aston Villa logo

West Ham
1 - 1
Aston Villa

Benrahma (26' pen.)
Paqueta (70')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Watkins (17')

The Match

Match Report

West Ham United move out of the Premier League relegation zone thanks to a 1-1 draw with Aston Villa.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between West Ham United and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Larnaca 0-2 West Ham
Thursday, March 9 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-0 Crystal Palace
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 51.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 22.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
West Ham UnitedDrawAston Villa
51.77% (0.125 0.13) 25.3% (0.093 0.09) 22.92% (-0.223 -0.22)
Both teams to score 48.74% (-0.525 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.32% (-0.563 -0.56)53.68% (0.557 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.83% (-0.478 -0.48)75.17% (0.47200000000001 0.47)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.25% (-0.17700000000001 -0.18)20.74% (0.171 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.62% (-0.276 -0.28)53.37% (0.27 0.27)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.5% (-0.527 -0.53)38.49% (0.521 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.75% (-0.507 -0.51)75.24% (0.5 0.5)
Score Analysis
    West Ham United 51.77%
    Aston Villa 22.92%
    Draw 25.3%
West Ham UnitedDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 12.56% (0.21 0.21)
2-0 @ 9.88% (0.112 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.18% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.94% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 51.77%
1-1 @ 11.99% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.99% (0.173 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 7.62% (0.058 0.06)
1-2 @ 5.72% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.64% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.82% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 22.92%

How you voted: West Ham vs Aston Villa

West Ham United
54.0%
Draw
20.7%
Aston Villa
25.3%
150
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 2pm
Mar 13, 2022 2pm
Oct 31, 2021 4.30pm
Aston Villa
1-4
West Ham
Watkins (34')
McGinn (79')
Konsa (50')
Johnson (7'), Rice (38'), Fornals (80'), Bowen (84')
Fornals (79'), Bowen (79')
Feb 3, 2021 8.15pm
Aston Villa
1-3
West Ham
Watkins (81')
Luiz (70')
Soucek (51'), Lingard (56', 83')
Cresswell (65')
Nov 30, 2020 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool14112129111835
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1585229151429
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


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