Premier League Gameweek 27
Mar 12, 2023 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Said Benrahma 26' goal
  • goal Ollie Watkins 17'

West Ham United vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

West Ham United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2023 3.00pm
Brighton 4 - 0 West Ham
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Jarrod Bowen

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2023 3.00pm
Aston Villa 1 - 0 Crystal Palace
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Ollie Watkins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 51.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 22.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

West Ham United 51.77% (+0.13)
Draw 25.3% (+0.10)
Aston Villa 22.92% (-0.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.74% (-0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.32% (-0.57)
Under 2.5 53.68% (+0.56)
Over 3.5 24.83% (-0.48)
Under 3.5 75.17% (+0.48)

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5 79.25% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 20.74% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 46.62% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 53.37% (+0.28)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 61.5% (-0.53)
Under 0.5 38.49% (+0.53)
Over 1.5 24.75% (-0.51)
Under 1.5 75.24% (+0.50)

Score analysis

West Ham United 51.77%
Draw 25.3%
Aston Villa 22.92%
West Ham United
1-0 @ 12.56% (+0.22)
2-0 @ 9.88% (+0.12)
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.18% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.94% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.06)
4-0 @ 2.04% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 51.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.99% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 7.99% (+0.18)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 25.3%
Aston Villa
0-1 @ 7.62% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 5.72% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 3.64% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.82% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 22.92%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2022 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Matty Cash 57' yellowcard
  • Boubacar Kamara 79' yellowcard
  • goal Pablo Fornals 74'
Premier League Gameweek 29
Mar 13, 2022 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Manuel Lanzini 44' yellowcard
  • Andriy Yarmolenko 70' goal
  • Pablo Fornals 82' goal
  • goal Jacob Ramsey 90'
Premier League Gameweek 10
Oct 31, 2021 4.30pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Ollie Watkins 34' goal
  • Ezri Konsa 50' redcard
  • John McGinn 79' yellowcard
  • goal Ben Johnson 7'
  • goal Declan Rice 38'
  • yellowcard Pablo Fornals 79'
  • yellowcard Jarrod Bowen 79'
  • goal Pablo Fornals 80'
  • goal Jarrod Bowen 84'
Premier League Gameweek 22
Feb 3, 2021 8.15pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Douglas Luiz 70' yellowcard
  • Ollie Watkins 81' goal
  • goal Tomas Soucek 51'
  • goal Jesse Lingard 56'
  • yellowcard Aaron Cresswell 65'
  • goal Jesse Lingard 83'
Premier League Gameweek 10
Nov 30, 2020 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Angelo Ogbonna 2' goal
  • Jarrod Bowen 46' goal
  • Pablo Fornals 53' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Grealish 25'
  • yellowcard Matty Cash 67'
Premier League Gameweek 38
Jul 26, 2020 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT London Stadium
  • Andriy Yarmolenko 85' goal
  • goal Jack Grealish 84'