Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 27

Mar 12, 2023 at 2pm UK

London Stadium

West Ham
1 - 1
Aston Villa

Benrahma (26' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Watkins (17')

The Match

Match Report

West Ham United move out of the Premier League relegation zone thanks to a 1-1 draw with Aston Villa.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between West Ham United and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

West Ham United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Larnaca 0-2 West Ham
Thursday, March 9 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aston Villa

All competitions

Last Game: Aston Villa 1-0 Crystal Palace
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 51.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 22.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
West Ham United	Draw	Aston Villa
51.77% ( 0.13)	25.3% ( 0.09)	22.92% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 48.74% (

-0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.32% (

-0.56)

53.68% (

0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.83% (

-0.48)

75.17% (

0.47)

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.25% (

-0.18)

20.74% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.62% (

-0.28)

53.37% (

0.27)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.5% (

-0.53)

38.49% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.75% (

-0.51)

75.24% (

0.5)

Score Analysis

West Ham United 51.77%

Aston Villa 22.92%

Draw 25.3%

West Ham United	Draw	Aston Villa
1-0 @ 12.56% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.51% Total : 51.77%	1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.3%	0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.52% Total : 22.92%