Conference League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 9, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
AEK Arena - George Karapatakis
West Ham logo

Larnaca
0 - 2
West Ham

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between AEK Larnaca and West Ham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Dnipro-1 0-0 Larnaca
Thursday, February 23 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Larnaca win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Larnaca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
AEK LarnacaDrawWest Ham United
39.62% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)26.66% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)33.72% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.72% (0.055 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.78% (0.067999999999998 0.07)53.22% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.22% (0.057000000000002 0.06)74.78% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)
AEK Larnaca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.68% (0.018000000000001 0.02)26.31% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.55% (0.024000000000001 0.02)61.44% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.19% (0.058999999999997 0.06)29.8% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.11% (0.070999999999998 0.07)65.88% (-0.068999999999988 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    AEK Larnaca 39.62%
    West Ham United 33.72%
    Draw 26.65%
AEK LarnacaDrawWest Ham United
1-0 @ 10.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.46%
2-0 @ 6.99% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.77% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 3.11% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 39.62%
1-1 @ 12.67% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.12% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 9.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.67% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.75% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.07% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 33.72%

How you voted: Larnaca vs West Ham

AEK Larnaca
15.4%
Draw
9.6%
West Ham United
75.0%
156