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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 16, 2023 at 8pm UK
AEK Arena

Larnaca
1 - 0
Dnipro-1

Angel (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between AEK Larnaca and Dnipro-1, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AEK Larnaca

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Last Game: Rennes 1-1 Larnaca
Thursday, November 3 at 8pm in Europa League
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Dnipro-1

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Kryvbas Kryvyi 2-1 Dnipro-1
Monday, November 28 at 12pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Larnaca win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Dnipro-1 had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Larnaca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Dnipro-1 win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AEK Larnaca in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AEK Larnaca.

Result
AEK LarnacaDrawDnipro-1
43.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)26.56%29.91%
Both teams to score 50.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.04% (0.00099999999999767 0)53.96% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.59% (0.0010000000000012 0)75.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
AEK Larnaca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)24.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)59.11%
Dnipro-1 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.19%32.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.62%69.37% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    AEK Larnaca 43.53%
    Dnipro-1 29.91%
    Draw 26.56%
AEK LarnacaDrawDnipro-1
1-0 @ 11.32%
2-1 @ 8.84%
2-0 @ 7.94% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.13%
3-0 @ 3.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.3%
4-1 @ 1.45%
4-0 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 43.53%
1-1 @ 12.61%
0-0 @ 8.07%
2-2 @ 4.93%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.56%
0-1 @ 9%
1-2 @ 7.03%
0-2 @ 5.01%
1-3 @ 2.61%
0-3 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 29.91%

How you voted: Larnaca vs Dnipro-1

AEK Larnaca
84.5%
Draw
10.7%
Dnipro-1
4.8%
84
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2022 5pm
Playoffs
Larnaca
3-0
Dnipro-1
Gyurcso (21'), Lopes (45'), Englezou (78')
Gustavo (61'), Lopes (73'), Angel (90+1')

Loginov (14'), Babenko (42')
Aug 18, 2022 7pm
Playoffs
Dnipro-1
1-2
Larnaca
Svatok (90')
Sarapiy (63')
Sarapiy (90+5')
Altman (16'), Svatok (29' og.)
Gustavo (62'), Casas (90+3')