Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 14
Nov 19, 2022 at 11am UK
Dnipro Arena
Shakhtar Donetsk

Dnipro-1
2 - 1
Shakhtar

Pikhalyonok (21'), Dovbyk (53')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mudryk (17')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Dnipro-1 and Shakhtar Donetsk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dnipro-1

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Vorskla 1-1 Dnipro-1
Sunday, November 13 at 12.20pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Shakhtar 2-2 Luhansk
Sunday, November 13 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 53.16%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 23.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dnipro-1 would win this match.

Result
Dnipro-1DrawShakhtar Donetsk
53.16% (0.336 0.34)23.3% (-0.029 -0.03)23.54% (-0.307 -0.31)
Both teams to score 55.68% (-0.267 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.14% (-0.184 -0.18)44.86% (0.183 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.79% (-0.179 -0.18)67.21% (0.17700000000001 0.18)
Dnipro-1 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.16% (0.054000000000002 0.05)16.84% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.17% (0.097000000000001 0.1)46.83% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.95% (-0.36499999999999 -0.36)33.05% (0.364 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.36% (-0.409 -0.41)69.64% (0.408 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Dnipro-1 53.16%
    Shakhtar Donetsk 23.54%
    Draw 23.29%
Dnipro-1DrawShakhtar Donetsk
1-0 @ 9.91% (0.096 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.83% (0.101 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.81% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.24% (0.069 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.59% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.34% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.43% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 53.16%
1-1 @ 10.97%
0-0 @ 5.56% (0.043 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.29%
0-1 @ 6.16% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.08% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.41% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 23.54%

Head to Head
Mar 16, 2022 5pm
Dnipro-1
P-P
Shakhtar
Sep 11, 2021 5.30pm
Shakhtar
2-0
Dnipro-1
Fernando (15'), Traore (87')
Maycon (29')

Svatok (30'), Di Franco (60')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Shakhtar
2-1
Dnipro-1
Dentinho (24'), Tete (41')
Dodo (54')
Khoblenko (90+4')
Taylor (30'), Di Franco (30'), Kogut (45'), Yarmoliuk (90+1')
Nov 28, 2020 5.30pm
Dnipro-1
0-1
Shakhtar
Tete (88')
Maycon (57'), Patrick (61'), Marlos (90')
Mar 4, 2020 5pm
Shakhtar
4-1
Dnipro-1
Krivtsov (4'), Adamyuk (9' og.), Taison (19'), Konoplyanka (23')
Bondar (81')
Supriaha (82' pen.)
Loginov (22'), Di Franco (33'), Nazarenko (55'), Shapoval (67')