Premier League Gameweek 29
Apr 2, 2023 4.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Joe Willock 65' goal
  • Callum Wilson 88' goal

Newcastle United vs Manchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 17, 2023 8.00pm
Nott'm Forest 1 - 2 Newcastle
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Callum Wilson

Manchester United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 12, 2023 2.00pm
Man Utd 0 - 0 Southampton
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Marcus Rashford

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 48.98%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Manchester United had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Manchester United win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result

Newcastle United 48.98%
Draw 25.62%
Manchester United 25.4%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.35%

Goals

Over 2.5 47.16%
Under 2.5 52.83%
Over 3.5 25.55%
Under 3.5 74.45%
Over 4.5 11.71%
Under 4.5 88.29%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 78.41%
Under 0.5 21.59%
Over 1.5 45.32%
Under 1.5 54.68%

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5 64.21%
Under 0.5 35.78%
Over 1.5 27.44%
Under 1.5 72.56%

Score analysis

Newcastle United 48.98%
Draw 25.62%
Manchester United 25.4%
Newcastle United
1-0 @ 11.84%
2-1 @ 9.33%
2-0 @ 9.08%
3-1 @ 4.77%
3-0 @ 4.64%
3-2 @ 2.45%
4-1 @ 1.83%
4-0 @ 1.78%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 48.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.17%
0-0 @ 7.72%
2-2 @ 4.79%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 25.62%
Manchester United
0-1 @ 7.94%
1-2 @ 6.25%
0-2 @ 4.08%
1-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 1.64%
0-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 25.4%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Feb 26, 2023 4.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Wembley Stadium
  • Casemiro 33' goal
  • Marcus Rashford 39' goal
Premier League Gameweek 11
Oct 16, 2022 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 19
Dec 27, 2021 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Allan Saint-Maximin 7' goal
  • Emil Krafth 66' yellowcard
  • Joelinton 70' yellowcard
  • Javi Manquillo 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cristiano Ronaldo 57'
  • yellowcard Bruno Fernandes 66'
  • yellowcard Harry Maguire 68'
  • goal Edinson Cavani 71'
Premier League Gameweek 4
Sep 11, 2021 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 45'+2' goal
  • Paul Pogba 60' yellowcard
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 62' goal
  • Bruno Fernandes 80' goal
  • Jesse Lingard 90'+2' goal
  • goal Javi Manquillo 56'
Premier League Gameweek 25
Feb 21, 2021 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Marcus Rashford 30' goal
  • Bruno Fernandes 38' yellowcard
  • Daniel James 57' goal
  • Bruno Fernandes 75' goal
  • goal Allan Saint-Maximin 36'
  • yellowcard Isaac Hayden 38'
  • yellowcard Joelinton 39'
Premier League Gameweek 5
Oct 17, 2020 8.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Luke Shaw 2' goal
  • Emil Krafth 67' yellowcard
  • goal Harry Maguire 23'
  • yellowcard Daniel James 37'
  • goal Bruno Fernandes 86'
  • goal Aaron Wan-Bissaka 90'
  • goal Marcus Rashford 90'+6'

Build-up

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