Premier League Gameweek 28
Mar 17, 2023 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Emmanuel Dennis 26' goal
  • goal Alexander Isak 45'+2'
  • goal Alexander Isak 90'+3'

Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Last game
Mar 11, 2023 3.00pm
Spurs 3 - 1 Nott'm Forest
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Taiwo Awoniyi

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 12, 2023 4.30pm
Newcastle 2 - 1 Wolves
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Callum Wilson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 52.23%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 23.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-0 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result

Nottingham Forest 23.46% (+0.59)
Draw 24.3% (-0.06)
Newcastle United 52.23% (-0.54)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.36% (+0.85)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.78% (+0.79)
Under 2.5 49.21% (-0.79)
Over 3.5 28.72% (+0.71)
Under 3.5 71.27% (-0.71)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5 64.48% (+0.98)
Under 0.5 35.51% (-0.98)
Over 1.5 27.72% (+1.00)
Under 1.5 72.28% (-1.00)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 81.19% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 18.81% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 49.76% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 50.23% (-0.16)

Score analysis

Nottingham Forest 23.46%
Draw 24.3%
Newcastle United 52.23%
Nottingham Forest
1-0 @ 6.92% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 5.98% (+0.15)
2-0 @ 3.58% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 2.06% (+0.11)
3-2 @ 1.73% (+0.10)
3-0 @ 1.24% (+0.06)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 23.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.55% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.68% (-0.22)
2-2 @ 5% (+0.14)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 24.3%
Newcastle United
0-1 @ 11.16% (-0.33)
1-2 @ 9.65% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 9.32% (-0.25)
1-3 @ 5.38% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 5.19% (-0.13)
2-3 @ 2.78% (+0.09)
1-4 @ 2.25% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 2.17% (-0.05)
2-4 @ 1.16% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 52.23%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Fabian Schar 58' goal
  • Callum Wilson 78' goal
  • yellowcard Joe Worrall 15'
  • yellowcard Neco Williams 23'
  • yellowcard Lewis O'Brien 56'
EFL Cup
Aug 29, 2018 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT The City Ground (Nottingham, Nottinghamshire)
  • Daryl Murphy 2' goal
  • Gil Dias 68' yellowcard
  • Michael Hefele 76' yellowcard
  • Jack Robinson 83' yellowcard
  • Matty Cash 90' goal
  • Gil Dias 90' goal
  • yellowcard Joselu 76'
  • yellowcard Sean Longstaff 80'
  • goal Salomon Rondon 90'
  • yellowcard Ayoze Perez 90'
EFL Cup
Aug 23, 2017 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Aleksandar Mitrovic 3' goal
  • Rolando Aarons 45' goal
  • Grant Hanley 85' yellowcard
  • goal Jason Cummings 29'
  • goal Jason Cummings 31'
  • yellowcard Joe Worrall 83'
  • goal Tyler Walker 97'
  • yellowcard Michael Mancienne 111'
Championship
Dec 30, 2016 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Matt Ritchie 4' goal
  • Ciaran Clark 12' yellowcard
  • Jack Colback 53' yellowcard
  • Dwight Gayle 63' goal
  • DeAndre Yedlin 65' yellowcard
  • Dwight Gayle 81' goal
  • yellowcard Thomas Lam 26'
  • goal Nicolao Dumitru 29'
  • yellowcard Matthew Mills 59'
  • redcard Matthew Mills 60'
  • yellowcard Hildeberto Pereira 61'
Championship
Dec 2, 2016 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Michael Mancienne 44' yellowcard
  • Nicklas Bendtner 52' goal
  • Henri Lansbury 72' yellowcard
  • Jamaal Lascelles 86' goal
  • redcard Jonjo Shelvey 33'
  • goal Matt Ritchie 45'
  • yellowcard Karl Darlow 45'
  • redcard Paul Dummett 45'
  • yellowcard Yoan Gouffran 53'
  • yellowcard DeAndre Yedlin 93'
Championship
Mar 29, 2010 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Shola Ameobi 71' goal
  • Enrique 90' goal
  • Enrique 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wes Morgan 60'
  • yellowcard Kelvin Wilson 78'