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Premier League | Gameweek 27
Mar 12, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
St James' Park
Wolves logo

Newcastle
2 - 1
Wolves

Isak (26'), Almiron (79')
Isak (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hee-chan (70')
Podence (44'), Semedo (58')

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United move into fifth position in the Premier League table courtesy of a 2-1 win over Wolverhampton Wanderers at St James' Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Wolverhampton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolves 1-0 Spurs
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 58%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 18.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
58% (-0.178 -0.18) 23.86% (0.097999999999999 0.1) 18.13% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Both teams to score 46.1% (-0.146 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.36% (-0.268 -0.27)53.63% (0.266 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.87% (-0.224 -0.22)75.13% (0.224 0.22)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.71% (-0.166 -0.17)18.29% (0.165 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.64% (-0.281 -0.28)49.36% (0.279 0.28)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.41% (-0.064 -0.06)43.58% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.22% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)79.78% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 57.99%
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 18.13%
    Draw 23.86%
Newcastle UnitedDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
1-0 @ 13.54% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 11.5%
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.51% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.41% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.77% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.3% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.94% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 57.99%
1-1 @ 11.24% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.97% (0.083 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.97% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 23.86%
0-1 @ 6.62% (0.058 0.06)
1-2 @ 4.67% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.75% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.29%
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 18.13%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Wolves

Newcastle United
66.1%
Draw
21.1%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
12.8%
180
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 2pm
Apr 8, 2022 8pm
Newcastle
1-0
Wolves
Wood (72' pen.)
Schar (56')

Moutinho (87')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Wolves
2-1
Newcastle
Hee-chan (20', 58')
Lage (44')
Hendrick (41')
Clark (56'), Manquillo (60')
Feb 27, 2021 8pm
Oct 25, 2020 4.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal34245582265677
2Liverpool34228475344174
3Manchester CityMan City32227376324473
4Aston Villa34206871502166
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd33165125150153
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331551369541550
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham34139125463-948
9Chelsea32138116157447
10Bournemouth34129134960-1145
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton321111105250244
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34127154654-843
13Fulham34126165054-442
14Crystal Palace34109154456-1239
15Brentford3498175259-735
16Everton34118153648-1233
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479184260-1826
18Luton TownLuton3467214775-2825
19Burnley3458213769-3223
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3437243392-5916


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