Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 27

Mar 12, 2023 at 4.30pm UK

St James' Park

Newcastle
2 - 1
Wolves

Isak (26'), Almiron (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hee-chan (70')

Reaction

Wolverhampton Wanderers manager Julen Lopetegui on March 4, 2023

Julen Lopetegui: 'Wolverhampton Wanderers denied penalty versus Newcastle United'

Head coach Julen Lopetegui claims that Wolverhampton Wanderers were denied a penalty before losing 2-1 to Newcastle United on Sunday afternoon.

Mar 12, 19:19

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United move into fifth position in the Premier League table courtesy of a 2-1 win over Wolverhampton Wanderers at St James' Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Wolverhampton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Man City 2-0 Newcastle
Saturday, March 4 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wolverhampton Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Wolves 1-0 Spurs
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 58%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 18.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Wolverhampton Wanderers
58% ( -0.18)	23.86% ( 0.1)	18.13% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 46.1% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.36% (

-0.27)

53.63% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.87% (

-0.22)

75.13% (

0.22)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.71% (

-0.17)

18.29% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.64% (

-0.28)

49.36% (

0.28)

Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.41% (

-0.06)

43.58% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.22% (

-0.05)

79.78% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 57.99%

Wolverhampton Wanderers 18.13%

Draw 23.86%

Newcastle United	Draw	Wolverhampton Wanderers
1-0 @ 13.54% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 11.5% 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.27% Total : 57.99%	1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.68% Total : 23.86%	0-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.29% 2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.7% Total : 18.13%