Premier League Gameweek 27
Mar 12, 2023 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Alexander Isak 26' goal
  • Miguel Almiron 79' goal
  • goal Hwang Hee-chan 70'

Newcastle United vs Wolverhampton Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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News

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2023 12.30pm
Man City 2 - 0 Newcastle
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Callum Wilson

Wolverhampton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2023 3.00pm
Wolves 1 - 0 Spurs
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Daniel Podence

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 58%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 18.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result

Newcastle United 58% (-0.18)
Draw 23.86% (+0.10)
Wolverhampton Wanderers 18.13% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.1% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.36% (-0.27)
Under 2.5 53.63% (+0.27)
Over 3.5 24.87% (-0.23)
Under 3.5 75.13% (+0.23)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 81.71% (-0.17)
Under 0.5 18.29% (+0.17)
Over 1.5 50.64% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 49.36% (+0.28)

Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 56.41% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 43.58% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 20.22% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 79.78% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Newcastle United 57.99%
Draw 23.86%
Wolverhampton Wanderers 18.13%
Newcastle United
1-0 @ 13.54% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 11.5%
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 6.51% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.41% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 2.77% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.3% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 57.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.24% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 7.97% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 3.97% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 23.86%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
0-1 @ 6.62% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 4.67% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.75% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.29%
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 18.13%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2022 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Nelson Semedo 28' yellowcard
  • Ruben Neves 38' goal
  • Pedro Neto 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabian Schar 46'
  • goal Allan Saint-Maximin 90'
Premier League Gameweek 32
Apr 8, 2022 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Fabian Schar 56' yellowcard
  • Chris Wood 72' goal
  • yellowcard Joao Moutinho 87'
Premier League Gameweek 7
Oct 2, 2021 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Hwang Hee-chan 20' goal
  • B. Lage 44' yellowcard
  • Hwang Hee-chan 58' goal
  • goal Jeff Hendrick 41'
  • yellowcard Ciaran Clark 56'
  • yellowcard Javi Manquillo 60'
Premier League Gameweek 26
Feb 27, 2021 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Isaac Hayden 19' yellowcard
  • Ciaran Clark 43' yellowcard
  • Jamaal Lascelles 52' goal
  • goal Ruben Neves 73'
Premier League Gameweek 6
Oct 25, 2020 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Raul Jimenez 80' goal
  • yellowcard Miguel Almiron 40'
  • goal Jacob Murphy 89'
Premier League Gameweek 22
Jan 11, 2020 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Leander Dendoncker 14' goal
  • goal Miguel Almiron 7'
  • yellowcard Miguel Almiron 65'
  • yellowcard Christian Atsu 67'
  • yellowcard Matty Longstaff 87'