Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 58%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 18.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Newcastle United | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
58% ( -0.18) | 23.86% ( 0.1) | 18.13% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 46.1% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.36% ( -0.27) | 53.63% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.87% ( -0.22) | 75.13% ( 0.22) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.71% ( -0.17) | 18.29% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.64% ( -0.28) | 49.36% ( 0.28) |
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.41% ( -0.06) | 43.58% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.22% ( -0.05) | 79.78% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle United | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 13.54% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 11.5% 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.27% Total : 57.99% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.68% Total : 23.86% | 0-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.29% 2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.7% Total : 18.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Liverpool | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 75 | 34 | 41 | 74 |
3 | Manchester CityMan City | 32 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 76 | 32 | 44 | 73 |
4 | Aston Villa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 53 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 50 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
9 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 47 |
10 | Bournemouth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 45 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 44 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 43 |
13 | Fulham | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 42 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 39 |
15 | Brentford | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 35 |
16 | Everton | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 47 | 75 | -28 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 23 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 33 | 92 | -59 | 16 |
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