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Manchester United logo
EFL Cup | Final
Feb 26, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Wembley Stadium
Newcastle logo

Man Utd
2 - 0
Newcastle

Casemiro (33'), Rashford (39')
Dalot (9'), Fred (37'), de Gea (84'), Casemiro (87'), Shaw (90+1'), Martinez (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Joelinton (45+6'), Botman (67'), Schar (90+6')

The Match

Match Report

Manchester United win their first trophy since 2017, with the Red Devils beating Newcastle United 2-0 in the final of the EFL Cup at Wembley.

Team News

Marcus Rashford shrugs off a knock to start for Manchester United in Sunday's EFL Cup final with Newcastle United.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's EFL Cup clash between Manchester United and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Newcastle United could line up for Sunday's EFL Cup final against Manchester United.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Manchester United's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's EFL Cup final against Newcastle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man Utd 2-1 Barcelona
Thursday, February 23 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Newcastle 0-2 Liverpool
Saturday, February 18 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Manchester UnitedDrawNewcastle United
45.19% (0.404 0.4) 25.47% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 29.33% (-0.45 -0.45)
Both teams to score 53.73% (-0.417 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.17% (-0.422 -0.42)49.82% (0.424 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.17% (-0.378 -0.38)71.82% (0.381 0.38)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)22.03% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.65% (0.009999999999998 0.01)55.35% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.91% (-0.53999999999999 -0.54)31.09% (0.541 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.58% (-0.636 -0.64)67.41% (0.637 0.64)
Score Analysis
    Manchester United 45.19%
    Newcastle United 29.33%
    Draw 25.47%
Manchester UnitedDrawNewcastle United
1-0 @ 10.36% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.16% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.84% (0.137 0.14)
3-1 @ 4.62% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.95% (0.07 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 45.19%
1-1 @ 12.1% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.85% (0.117 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 8% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.07% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.67% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.75% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 29.33%

How you voted: Man Utd vs Newcastle

Manchester United
85.7%
Newcastle United
14.3%
405
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2022 2pm
Dec 27, 2021 8pm
Newcastle
1-1
Man Utd
Saint-Maximin (7')
Krafth (66'), Joelinton (70'), Manquillo (90+5')
Cavani (71')
Ronaldo (57'), Fernandes (66'), Maguire (68')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Man Utd
4-1
Newcastle
Ronaldo (45+2', 62'), Fernandes (80'), Lingard (90+2')
Pogba (60')
Manquillo (56')
Feb 21, 2021 7pm
Man Utd
3-1
Newcastle
Rashford (30'), James (57'), Fernandes (75' pen.)
Fernandes (38')
Saint-Maximin (36')
Hayden (38'), Joelinton (39')
Oct 17, 2020 8pm
Newcastle
1-4
Man Utd
Shaw (2' og.)
Krafth (67')
Maguire (23'), Fernandes (86'), Wan-Bissaka (90'), Rashford (90+6')
James (37')
Build-up
Manchester United's Marcus Rashford celebrates scoring against Arsenal on January 22, 2023
Marcus Rashford's record vs. Newcastle United
Sports Mole looks at Marcus Rashford's record against Newcastle United ahead of Manchester United's clash with the Magpies in the EFL Cup final.
Feb 26, 11:27
Newcastle United's Joelinton in action with Manchester United's Bruno Fernandes on October 16, 2022
Who will win the EFL Cup final between Manchester United and Newcastle United?
Ahead of the EFL Cup final between Manchester United and Newcastle United, the Sports Mole team discuss who they believe will lift the trophy at Wembley.
Feb 26, 10:32
Newcastle United manager Eddie Howe and Manchester United manager Erik ten Hag pictured on October 16, 2022
Newcastle United boss Eddie Howe aiming to break 19-year duck in EFL Cup final
Eddie Howe will be aiming to break a 19-year duck when his Newcastle United side takes on Manchester United in Sunday's EFL Cup final.
Feb 25, 23:44
Manchester United forward Marcus Rashford goes down injured on February 23, 2023
Marcus Rashford included in Manchester United squad for EFL Cup final
Amid an injury scare, Marcus Rashford is seen with the Manchester United squad as the Red Devils travel to London for Sunday's EFL Cup final against Newcastle United.
Feb 25, 23:18
Barcelona's Franck Kessie in action with Manchester United's Luke Shaw on February 23, 2023
Manchester United defender Luke Shaw calls for calm ahead of EFL Cup final
Manchester United left-back Luke Shaw says that the Red Devils cannot afford to "let the occasion take over" against Newcastle United in the EFL Cup final.
Feb 25, 14:58
Antony celebrates pulling one back for Manchester United on October 2, 2022
Antony vows to help Manchester United return to former glories
Manchester United attacker Antony is confident that he can help the club return to former glories, as the Red Devils go in search of their first trophy since 2017.
Feb 25, 14:38
Newcastle United's Sean Longstaff celebrates scoring their second goal on January 30, 2023
EFL Cup final: Newcastle United's road to Wembley
Ahead of Sunday's EFL Cup final against Manchester United, Sports Mole relives Newcastle United's road to Wembley.
Feb 25, 14:14
Alan Shearer pictured on December 14, 2015
EFL Cup final: Newcastle United's last five Wembley final appearances
Ahead of Sunday's EFL Cup final, Sports Mole looks back at the last five times that Newcastle United have been involved in a Wembley final.
Feb 25, 12:29
Manchester United forward Marcus Rashford goes down injured on February 23, 2023
Erik ten Hag provides Marcus Rashford, Anthony Martial fitness updates
Manchester United head coach Erik ten Hag 'does not know' whether Marcus Rashford will be fit for Sunday's EFL Cup final.
Feb 24, 14:29
Manchester United's Marcus Rashford celebrates scoring against Arsenal on January 22, 2023
Marcus Rashford emerges as injury doubt for EFL Cup final?
Manchester United forward Marcus Rashford seemingly emerges as a potential injury doubt for Sunday's EFL Cup final with Newcastle United.
Feb 24, 09:59
Newcastle United's Loris Karius during the warm up before the match on October 1, 2022
How Newcastle United could line up against Manchester United
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Newcastle United could line up for Sunday's EFL Cup final against Manchester United.
Feb 24, 08:45
Manchester United's Fred celebrates scoring against Barcelona on February 23, 2023
How Manchester United could line up against Newcastle United
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester United could line up for Sunday's EFL Cup final against Newcastle United.
Feb 24, 08:35
Manchester United forward Marcus Rashford goes down injured on February 23, 2023
Manchester United team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Newcastle United
Sports Mole rounds up Manchester United's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's EFL Cup final against Newcastle United.
Feb 24, 07:43
Newcastle United's Joe Willock in action with Crystal Palace's Joel Ward on January 21, 2023
Newcastle United's Joe Willock doubt for EFL Cup final
Newcastle United manager Eddie Howe reveals that Joe Willock is in a "race to be fit" for Sunday's EFL Cup final against Manchester United.
Feb 21, 23:24
Newcastle United's Loris Karius during the warm up before the match on October 1, 2022
Eddie Howe backs Loris Karius as Newcastle decide against Nick Pope appeal
Newcastle United boss Eddie Howe reveals the club will not appeal Nick Pope's red card and backs Loris Karius to "rewrite" his story ahead of Sunday's EFL Cup final.
Feb 21, 20:18
Anthony Martial celebrates scoring for Manchester United on October 6, 2022
Erik ten Hag provides fitness update on injured Manchester United trio
Manchester United trio Scott McTominay, Antony and Anthony Martial could be available for the EFL Cup final against Newcastle United.
Feb 16, 15:59
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal34245582265677
2Manchester CityMan City33237380324876
3Liverpool34228475344174
4Aston Villa34206871502166
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd33165125150153
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331551369541550
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham34139125463-948
9Chelsea32138116157447
10Bournemouth34129134960-1145
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton331111115254-244
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34127154654-843
13Fulham34126165054-442
14Crystal Palace34109154456-1239
15Brentford3498175259-735
16Everton34118153648-1233
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479184260-1826
18Luton TownLuton3467214775-2825
19Burnley3458213769-3223
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3437243392-5916


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