Manchester United vs Barcelona - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester United in this match.