La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 20

Feb 5, 2023 at 8pm UK

Spotify Camp Nou

Barcelona
3 - 0
Sevilla

Alba (58'), Gavi (70'), Raphinha (79')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Betis 1-2 Barcelona
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sevilla

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Sevilla 3-0 Elche
Saturday, January 28 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 66.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 14.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Sevilla
66.54% ( 2.03)	19.15% ( -0.65)	14.3% ( -1.37)

Both teams to score 52.57% (

-1.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.35% (

0.13)

40.65% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.96% (

0.13)

63.03% (

-0.13)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.66% (

0.58)

11.34% (

-0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.97% (

1.25)

36.03% (

-1.25)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.29% (

-1.77)

40.71% (

1.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.71% (

-1.63)

77.29% (

1.63)

Score Analysis

Barcelona 66.53%

Sevilla 14.3%

Draw 19.15%

Barcelona	Draw	Sevilla
2-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.44) 1-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.49) 3-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.36) 4-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.2) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.94% Total : 66.53%	1-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.15%	0-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.33) 0-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.17) Other @ 1.69% Total : 14.3%