Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 66.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 14.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.