/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fbarlog.png)
-
Raphinha
41'
-
Robert Lewandowski
50'
-
Ansu Fati
70'
-
Franck Kessie
77'
-
Robert Lewandowski
90'
Ceuta vs Barcelona - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Result
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Team News
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Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F02%2Fbarcelona.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F01%2Fxavi.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 89.58%. A draw had a probability of 7.8% and a win for Ceuta had a probability of 2.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-3 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.75%) and 0-4 (11.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.68%), while for a Ceuta win it was 1-0 (1.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
Result
Ceuta
2.57%
Draw
7.85%
▲
(+0.01)
Barcelona
89.58%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
33.19%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
69.79%
Under 2.5
30.21%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
48.56%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
51.45%
▼
(-0.01)
Ceuta Goals
Over 0.5
34.63%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
65.37%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
6.84%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
93.16%
▼
(-0.01)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5
95.84%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
4.16%
Over 1.5
82.6%
Under 1.5
17.4%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Ceuta
2.57%
Draw
7.85%
Barcelona
89.57%
Ceuta
1-0
@
1.16%
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 2.57%
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 2.57%
Draw
1-1
@
3.68%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 2.72%
2-2 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 7.85%
0-0 @ 2.72%
2-2 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 7.85%
Barcelona
0-3
@
14.57%
0-2 @ 13.75%
0-4 @ 11.57% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 8.65%
0-5 @ 7.36%
1-3 @ 6.19% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.85%
1-4 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.01)
0-6 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 3.13%
0-7 @ 1.77%
1-6 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.32%
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 89.57%
0-2 @ 13.75%
0-4 @ 11.57% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 8.65%
0-5 @ 7.36%
1-3 @ 6.19% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.85%
1-4 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.01)
0-6 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 3.13%
0-7 @ 1.77%
1-6 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.32%
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 89.57%
Build-up
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F41%2Frobert-lewandowski.jpeg)