Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 63.54%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 16.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.27%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Barcelona in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Barcelona.
Result | ||
Osasuna | Draw | Barcelona |
16.12% ( -0.08) | 20.33% ( -0.05) | 63.54% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 53.03% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.71% ( 0.1) | 42.28% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.31% ( 0.1) | 64.68% ( -0.11) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.71% ( -0.03) | 39.29% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24% ( -0.03) | 75.99% ( 0.03) |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.34% ( 0.07) | 12.65% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.19% ( 0.14) | 38.8% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Osasuna | Draw | Barcelona |
1-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.99% Total : 16.12% | 1-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.33% | 0-2 @ 10.62% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 10.27% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.92% ( -0) 0-3 @ 7.32% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 6.84% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 3.78% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.54% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.37% Total : 63.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 50 | 19 | 31 | 38 |
2 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 35 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 32 |
5 | Mallorca | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 27 |
6 | Villarreal | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 26 |
7 | Osasuna | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 25 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 24 |
9 | GironaGirona | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 21 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 21 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 20 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Getafe | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 15 |
17 | Leganes | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
18 | Espanyol | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 14 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
> La Liga Full Table |