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Robert Lewandowski
90'+3'
Valencia vs Barcelona - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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News
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The match
Team News
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Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Injuries & Suspensions
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.81%) and 0-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Valencia win it was 2-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
Result
Valencia
18.9%
▲
(+0.09)
Draw
21.36%
▲
(+0.07)
Barcelona
59.73%
▼
(-0.15)
Both Teams to Score:
55.21%
▼
(-0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.83%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 2.5
42.16%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 3.5
35.43%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 3.5
64.57%
▲
(+0.16)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5
64%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
35.99%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
27.22%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
72.77%
▲
(+0.01)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5
86.26%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 0.5
13.74%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 1.5
58.99%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 1.5
41%
▲
(+0.19)
Score analysis
Valencia
18.9%
Draw
21.35%
Barcelona
59.73%
Valencia
2-1
@
5.12%
▲
(+0.02)
1-0 @ 5.05% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 18.9%
1-0 @ 5.05% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 18.9%
Draw
1-1
@
10.02%
▲
(+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.09%
0-0 @ 4.94% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.35%
2-2 @ 5.09%
0-0 @ 4.94% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.35%
Barcelona
1-2
@
9.96%
0-1 @ 9.81% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 9.74% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 6.59% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 6.45% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.03)
0-4 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.02)
1-5 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.02)
0-5 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 59.73%
0-1 @ 9.81% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 9.74% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 6.59% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 6.45% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.03)
0-4 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.02)
1-5 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.02)
0-5 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 59.73%
Head to Head
-
Carlos Soler
52'
-
Ilaix Moriba
53'
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Hugo Duro
56'
-
Toni Lato
76'
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Carlos Soler
77'
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Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
23'
-
Frenkie de Jong
32'
-
Jordi Alba
35'
-
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
38'
-
Ronald Araujo
56'
-
Pedri
63'
-
Nico Gonzalez
72'
-
Sergino Dest
90'+3'
Form Data
Build-up
News