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La Liga

Sevilla logo
La Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 18, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Valencia logo

Sevilla
1 - 1
Valencia

Lamela (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cavani (6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 0-1 Sevilla
Saturday, October 15 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Valencia

All competitions
Last Game: Valencia 2-2 Elche
Saturday, October 15 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
SevillaDrawValencia
46.18% (-0.163 -0.16)26.69% (-0.026 -0.03)27.13% (0.191 0.19)
Both teams to score 48.6% (0.21 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.21% (0.204 0.2)55.8% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.08% (0.165 0.16)76.92% (-0.164 -0.16)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.87% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)24.13% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.57% (0.014000000000003 0.01)58.43% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.06% (0.26600000000001 0.27)35.94% (-0.268 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.28% (0.272 0.27)72.72% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 46.17%
    Valencia 27.13%
    Draw 26.68%
SevillaDrawValencia
1-0 @ 12.32% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 8.97%
2-0 @ 8.77% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.15% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.48% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 46.17%
1-1 @ 12.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.67% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.68%
0-1 @ 8.87% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.46% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.54% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.2% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.55% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 27.13%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Valencia

Sevilla
57.4%
Draw
27.3%
Valencia
15.2%
256
Head to Head
Jan 19, 2022 8.30pm
Valencia
1-1
Sevilla
Guedes (44')
Gaya (45+2'), Lato (86')
Gaya (89')
Diakhaby (7' og.)
Acuna (45+2'), Montiel (45+4'), Torres (90+4')
Sep 22, 2021 6.30pm
Sevilla
3-1
Valencia
Papu (3'), Lato (15' og.), Mir (22')
Lamela (17'), Montiel (30'), Mir (35'), Jordan (51'), Gudelj (82')
Duro (31')
Lato (17'), Alderete (17'), Diakhaby (68')
May 12, 2021 6pm
Sevilla
1-0
Valencia
En-Nesyri (66')
Escudero (7'), Gudelj (37')

Soler (80'), Paulista (90+3')
Jan 27, 2021 6pm
Sevilla
3-0
Valencia
De Jong (20', 33'), Rakitic (38')
Acuna (62'), Vidal (80'), El Haddadi (90+2')
Dec 22, 2020 4.30pm
Valencia
0-1
Sevilla

Wass (45+2'), Soler (71'), Molina (78')
Suso (81')
de Jong (55'), Jordan (82')