Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 63.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Viktoria Plzen had a probability of 14.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.32%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Viktoria Plzen win it was 1-0 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.