Copa del Rey | Second Round
Dec 21, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube

Ceuta
3 - 2
UD Ibiza

Antonito (14', 48'), Rodri (21')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Lafarge (5' og.), Zenitagoia (45+4')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey Second Round clash between Ceuta and UD Ibiza.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ceuta

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Last Game: Ceuta 1-1 Numancia (3-2 pen.)
Tuesday, December 17 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
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UD Ibiza

All competitions
Last Game: Albacete 4-0 UD Ibiza
Sunday, December 18 at 1pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UD Ibiza win with a probability of 75.44%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Ceuta had a probability of 7.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a UD Ibiza win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.98%) and 0-3 (11.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.72%), while for a Ceuta win it was 1-0 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
CeutaDrawUD Ibiza
7.81%16.75%75.44%
Both teams to score 37.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.07%47.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.89%70.11%
Ceuta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.42%57.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.64%89.36%
UD Ibiza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.99%11.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.71%35.29%
Score Analysis
    Ceuta 7.81%
    UD Ibiza 75.44%
    Draw 16.75%
CeutaDrawUD Ibiza
1-0 @ 3.5%
2-1 @ 2.13%
2-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 7.81%
1-1 @ 7.72%
0-0 @ 6.34%
2-2 @ 2.35%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 16.75%
0-2 @ 15.43%
0-1 @ 13.98%
0-3 @ 11.35%
1-2 @ 8.52%
1-3 @ 6.27%
0-4 @ 6.26%
1-4 @ 3.46%
0-5 @ 2.76%
2-3 @ 1.73%
1-5 @ 1.53%
0-6 @ 1.02%
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 75.44%

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