MX23RW : Sunday, April 28 22:35:07| >> :600:1833755:1833755:
Copa del Rey | First Round
Dec 17, 2019 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube

Ceuta
1 - 1
Numancia

J (76')
J (64'), M (86'), I (103'), J (119')
FT
(aet)
N (47')
A (37'), Nacho (61')
Ceuta win 3-2 on penalties
Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Ceuta and Numancia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Numancia win with a probability of 78.23%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Ceuta had a probability of 7.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Numancia win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.73%) and 0-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.64%), while for a Ceuta win it was 1-0 (2.53%).

Result
CeutaDrawNumancia
7.75%14.02%78.23%
Both teams to score 47.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.78%35.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.76%57.24%
Ceuta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.88%49.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.96%84.04%
Numancia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.76%7.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.75%26.25%
Score Analysis
    Ceuta 7.75%
    Numancia 78.23%
    Draw 14.02%
CeutaDrawNumancia
1-0 @ 2.53%
2-1 @ 2.36%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 7.75%
1-1 @ 6.64%
0-0 @ 3.56%
2-2 @ 3.1%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 14.02%
0-2 @ 12.26%
0-3 @ 10.73%
0-1 @ 9.34%
1-2 @ 8.72%
1-3 @ 7.63%
0-4 @ 7.05%
1-4 @ 5.01%
0-5 @ 3.7%
2-3 @ 2.71%
1-5 @ 2.63%
2-4 @ 1.78%
0-6 @ 1.62%
1-6 @ 1.15%
2-5 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 78.23%

rhs 2.0
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1Arsenal35255585285780
2Manchester CityMan City34247382325079
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5Tottenham HotspurSpurs33186967521560
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10Bournemouth35139135260-848
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12Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341111125257-544
13Fulham35127165155-443
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton35128153748-1136
16Brentford3598185260-835
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3579194262-2026
18Luton TownLuton3567224877-2925
19Burnley3559213870-3224
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd3537253497-6316


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