Copa del Rey | First Round
Dec 17, 2019 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube

Ceuta
1 - 1
Numancia

J (76')
J (64'), M (86'), I (103'), J (119')
FT
(aet)
N (47')
A (37'), Nacho (61')
Ceuta win 3-2 on penalties
Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Ceuta and Numancia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Numancia win with a probability of 78.23%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Ceuta had a probability of 7.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Numancia win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.73%) and 0-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.64%), while for a Ceuta win it was 1-0 (2.53%).

Result
CeutaDrawNumancia
7.75%14.02%78.23%
Both teams to score 47.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.78%35.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.76%57.24%
Ceuta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.88%49.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.96%84.04%
Numancia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.76%7.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.75%26.25%
Score Analysis
    Ceuta 7.75%
    Numancia 78.23%
    Draw 14.02%
CeutaDrawNumancia
1-0 @ 2.53%
2-1 @ 2.36%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 7.75%
1-1 @ 6.64%
0-0 @ 3.56%
2-2 @ 3.1%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 14.02%
0-2 @ 12.26%
0-3 @ 10.73%
0-1 @ 9.34%
1-2 @ 8.72%
1-3 @ 7.63%
0-4 @ 7.05%
1-4 @ 5.01%
0-5 @ 3.7%
2-3 @ 2.71%
1-5 @ 2.63%
2-4 @ 1.78%
0-6 @ 1.62%
1-6 @ 1.15%
2-5 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 78.23%