Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 52.66%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 20.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.33%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a UD Ibiza win it was 0-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Zaragoza would win this match.