Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 44.11%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 26.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.13%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.