Alaves logo
Segunda Division | Gameweek 15
Nov 4, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza

Alaves
1 - 0
Zaragoza

Jason (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Alaves and Real Zaragoza.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions
Last Game: Racing 1-1 Alaves
Tuesday, November 1 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Real Zaragoza

All competitions
Last Game: Zaragoza 0-2 FC Andorra
Tuesday, November 1 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 41.78%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 28.27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 2-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.3%), while for a Real Zaragoza win it was 0-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alaves in this match.

Result
AlavesDrawReal Zaragoza
41.78% (-0.464 -0.46)29.95% (0.275 0.27)28.27% (0.187 0.19)
Both teams to score 40.73% (-0.568 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.95% (-0.744 -0.74)66.05% (0.74300000000001 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.38% (-0.515 -0.51)84.62% (0.514 0.51)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.68% (-0.648 -0.65)31.32% (0.647 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.32% (-0.759 -0.76)67.68% (0.758 0.76)
Real Zaragoza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.3% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)40.69% (0.26600000000001 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.71% (-0.242 -0.24)77.28% (0.241 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 41.77%
    Real Zaragoza 28.27%
    Draw 29.94%
AlavesDrawReal Zaragoza
1-0 @ 14.79% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 8.59% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-1 @ 7.72% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.32% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-1 @ 2.99% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.34% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 41.77%
1-1 @ 13.3% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 12.74% (0.34 0.34)
2-2 @ 3.47% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 29.94%
0-1 @ 11.46% (0.23 0.23)
1-2 @ 5.98% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.15% (0.066 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.79% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.54% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 28.27%

How you voted: Alaves vs Zaragoza

Alaves
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Real Zaragoza
0.0%
10