Segunda Division Gameweek 15
Nov 4, 2022 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
  • Jason 62' goal

Alaves vs Real Zaragoza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Nov 1, 2022 5.30pm
Racing 1 - 1 Alaves
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Luis Rioja

Real Zaragoza

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Nov 1, 2022 3.15pm
Zaragoza 0 - 2 FC Andorra
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Giuliano Simeone

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 41.78%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 28.27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 2-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.3%), while for a Real Zaragoza win it was 0-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alaves in this match.

Result

Alaves 41.78% (-0.47)
Draw 29.95% (+0.28)
Real Zaragoza 28.27% (+0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.73% (-0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5 33.95% (-0.75)
Under 2.5 66.05% (+0.75)
Over 3.5 15.38% (-0.52)
Under 3.5 84.62% (+0.52)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5 68.68% (-0.65)
Under 0.5 31.32% (+0.65)
Over 1.5 32.32% (-0.76)
Under 1.5 67.68% (+0.76)

Real Zaragoza Goals

Over 0.5 59.3% (-0.27)
Under 0.5 40.69% (+0.27)
Over 1.5 22.71% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 77.28% (+0.25)

Score analysis

Alaves 41.77%
Draw 29.94%
Real Zaragoza 28.27%
Alaves
1-0 @ 14.79% (+0.14)
2-0 @ 8.59% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 7.72% (-0.12)
3-0 @ 3.32% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 2.99% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 1.34% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 41.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.3% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 12.74% (+0.34)
2-2 @ 3.47% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 29.94%
Real Zaragoza
0-1 @ 11.46% (+0.24)
1-2 @ 5.98% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.15% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 1.79% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.54% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 28.27%