Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 45.2%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 24.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.97%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.