Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 55.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 18.54%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Ponferradina
55.71% ( 0)	25.74% ( -0.01)	18.54% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 41.83% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.31% (

0.04)

59.69% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20% (

0.03)

80% (

-0.03)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.45% (

0.02)

21.55% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.37% (

0.03)

54.63% (

-0.03)

Ponferradina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.32% (

0.03)

46.67% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.76% (

0.02)

82.24% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Alaves 55.7%

Ponferradina 18.54%

Draw 25.73%

Alaves	Draw	Ponferradina
1-0 @ 15.43% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.84% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.06% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.33% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 55.7%	1-1 @ 11.76% 0-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.44% ( 0) Other @ 0.48% Total : 25.73%	0-1 @ 7.67% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.48% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.92% 1-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 18.54%