Segunda Division | Gameweek 4

Sep 3, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio El Toralín

Ponferradina
1 - 3
Sporting Gijon

Medina (70')
Espiau (6'), Tavares (61'), Nwakali (76'), Dieguez (85'), Lukaku (90')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Otero (19'), Gragera (24'), Zarfino (90+3')

Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Ponferradina and Sporting Gijon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Ponferradina	Draw	Sporting Gijon
39.11% ( 0.84)	28.34% ( 0.03)	32.55% ( -0.87)

Both teams to score 46.41% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.22% (

-0.22)

59.78% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.93% (

-0.17)

80.07% (

0.17)

Ponferradina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.27% (

0.39)

29.73% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.21% (

0.47)

65.79% (

-0.47)

Sporting Gijon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.05% (

-0.72)

33.95% (

0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.37% (

-0.78)

70.63% (

0.78)

Score Analysis

Ponferradina 39.11%

Sporting Gijon 32.54%

Draw 28.33%

Ponferradina	Draw	Sporting Gijon
1-0 @ 12.24% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.53% Total : 39.11%	1-1 @ 13.22% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.33%	0-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.36% Total : 32.54%