Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 54.81%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 21.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Cartagena	Draw	Ponferradina
54.81% ( 0.82)	23.82% ( -0.26)	21.36% ( -0.56)

Both teams to score 51.19% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.56% (

0.41)

49.43% (

-0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.52% (

0.37)

71.47% (

-0.37)

Cartagena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.08% (

0.46)

17.91% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.28% (

0.79)

48.72% (

-0.79)

Ponferradina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.37% (

-0.32)

37.63% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.59% (

-0.32)

74.4% (

0.32)

Score Analysis

Cartagena 54.81%

Ponferradina 21.36%

Draw 23.81%

Cartagena	Draw	Ponferradina
1-0 @ 11.59% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.46% Total : 54.81%	1-1 @ 11.32% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.99% Total : 23.81%	0-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.61% Total : 21.36%