Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 36.71%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 1-0 (11.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.