Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 36.71%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 1-0 (11.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Mirandes	Draw	Sporting Gijon
35.16% ( 0.12)	28.13% ( -0)	36.71% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 47.41% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.27% (

0.03)

58.73% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.74% (

0.02)

79.26% (

-0.02)

Mirandes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.36% (

0.09)

31.64% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.95% (

0.1)

68.05% (

-0.1)

Sporting Gijon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.35% (

-0.05)

30.66% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.1% (

-0.06)

66.9% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Mirandes 35.16%

Sporting Gijon 36.71%

Draw 28.12%

Mirandes	Draw	Sporting Gijon
1-0 @ 11.16% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 35.16%	1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0) Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.12%	0-1 @ 11.46% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 36.71%