Segunda Division Gameweek 5
Sep 10, 2022 1.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Anxo Carro
  • Chris Ramos 16' goal
  • goal Taichi Hara 65'
  • goal Nahuel Tenaglia 68'

Lugo vs Alaves - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugo

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Sep 4, 2022 8.00pm
Zaragoza 1 - 2 Lugo
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Chris Ramos

Alaves

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Sep 3, 2022 1.00pm
Alaves 1 - 1 Las Palmas
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Luis Rioja

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugo win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 30%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.56%) and 2-1 (7.44%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (12.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result

Lugo 38.11% (-0.02)
Draw 29.98% (-0.01)
Alaves 31.91% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.87% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 34.73% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 65.27% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 15.92% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 84.08% (-0.01)

Lugo Goals

Over 0.5 66.87%
Under 0.5 33.13% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 30.27% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 69.73% (+0.01)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5 62.62% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 37.38% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 25.83% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 74.16% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Lugo 38.11%
Draw 29.97%
Alaves 31.9%
Lugo
1-0 @ 13.68%
2-0 @ 7.56% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.44% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.78% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.74%
3-2 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 38.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.46%
0-0 @ 12.38% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.66% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 29.97%
Alaves
0-1 @ 12.18%
1-2 @ 6.62% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.17% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.97% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.2% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 31.9%