Segunda Division | Gameweek 5
Sep 10, 2022 at 1pm UK
Estadio Anxo Carro
Alaves logo

Lugo
1 - 2
Alaves

Ramos (16')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hara (65'), Tenaglia (68')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Lugo and Alaves.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugo

Last Six:
Last Game: Zaragoza 1-2 Lugo
Sunday, September 4 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Alaves

Last Six:
Last Game: Alaves 1-1 Las Palmas
Saturday, September 3 at 1pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugo win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 30%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.56%) and 2-1 (7.44%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (12.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
LugoDrawAlaves
38.11% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)29.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)31.91% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 41.87% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.73% (0.015999999999998 0.02)65.27% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)84.08% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Lugo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.87%33.13% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.27% (0.0010000000000012 0)69.73% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.62% (0.022000000000006 0.02)37.38% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.83% (0.021000000000001 0.02)74.16% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Lugo 38.11%
    Alaves 31.9%
    Draw 29.97%
LugoDrawAlaves
1-0 @ 13.68%
2-0 @ 7.56% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 7.44% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.78% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-1 @ 2.74%
3-2 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 38.11%
1-1 @ 13.46%
0-0 @ 12.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 29.97%
0-1 @ 12.18%
1-2 @ 6.62% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 6% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 2.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 31.9%