Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 0-1 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alaves in this match.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Mirandes
42.34% ( -1.9)	27.83% ( 0.21)	29.83% ( 1.7)

Both teams to score 46.92% (

0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.29% (

-0.06)

58.7% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.76% (

-0.05)

79.24% (

0.05)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.6% (

-1.03)

27.4% (

1.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.13% (

-1.36)

62.87% (

1.36)

Mirandes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.63% (

1.3)

35.37% (

-1.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.87% (

1.33)

72.13% (

-1.32)

Score Analysis

Alaves 42.33%

Mirandes 29.83%

Draw 27.82%

Alaves	Draw	Mirandes
1-0 @ 12.54% ( -0.34) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.47) 3-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.31) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.14) Other @ 1.87% Total : 42.33%	1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.82%	0-1 @ 10.07% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.37) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.07% Total : 29.83%