Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 46.47%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 24.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Tenerife	Draw	Lugo
46.47% ( 0.06)	28.66% ( -0.02)	24.87% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 41.73% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.29% (

0.04)

63.71% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.02% (

0.03)

82.98% (

-0.03)

Tenerife Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.4% (

0.05)

27.6% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.87% (

0.06)

63.13% (

-0.06)

Lugo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.64% (

-0.02)

42.36% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.26% (

-0.01)

78.74% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Tenerife 46.46%

Lugo 24.87%

Draw 28.65%

Tenerife	Draw	Lugo
1-0 @ 15.04% 2-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.53% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 1.66% Total : 46.46%	1-1 @ 12.92% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.68% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.58% ( 0) Other @ 0.47% Total : 28.65%	0-1 @ 10.04% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.55% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.11% Total : 24.87%