Segunda Division | Gameweek 5
Sep 11, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio El Toralín

Ponferradina
1 - 2
Zaragoza

Nwakali (44')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Simeone (12', 51')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Ponferradina and Real Zaragoza.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ponferradina

Last Six:
Last Game: Ponferradina 1-3 Sporting Gijon
Saturday, September 3 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Real Zaragoza

Last Six:
Last Game: Zaragoza 1-2 Lugo
Sunday, September 4 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
PonferradinaDrawReal Zaragoza
39.73% (0.227 0.23)27.12% (-0.083000000000002 -0.08)33.15% (-0.14599999999999 -0.15)
Both teams to score 50.16% (0.22 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.86% (0.294 0.29)55.14% (-0.296 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.61% (0.241 0.24)76.39% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)
Ponferradina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.85% (0.265 0.27)27.15% (-0.267 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.46% (0.344 0.34)62.54% (-0.346 -0.35)
Real Zaragoza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.85% (0.049999999999997 0.05)31.14% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.52% (0.058 0.06)67.47% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Ponferradina 39.72%
    Real Zaragoza 33.15%
    Draw 27.12%
PonferradinaDrawReal Zaragoza
1-0 @ 11.02% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.38% (0.042 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.19% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.64% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.12% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.19% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 39.72%
1-1 @ 12.86% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.45% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.89% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.12%
0-1 @ 9.86% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-2 @ 7.5% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.75% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.92% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 33.15%

Head to Head
Jan 9, 2022 7.30pm
Ponferradina
0-0
Zaragoza

Amo (29'), Ojeda (57'), Medina (88'), Bolo (90+4')

Sainz (76')
Oct 21, 2021 6pm
Zaragoza
1-1
Ponferradina
Vada (76' pen.)
Eguaras (3'), Amador (45+1'), Petrovic (81'), Frances (90+3')
Rodriguez (47')
Pascanu (24'), Copete (52'), Pujol (72'), Amo (74')
Jan 29, 2021 8pm
Zaragoza
1-0
Ponferradina
Narvaez (41' pen.)
Eguaras (45+1'), Alegria (80')

Valcarce (15')
Nov 22, 2020 8pm
Ponferradina
2-1
Zaragoza
Sola (61' og.), Hernando (78')
Hernando (41'), Valcarce (45+3'), Curro (69')
Narvaez (46')
Sola (73'), Eguaras (81')
Jul 20, 2020 8pm
Zaragoza
2-1
Ponferradina
Linares (35'), Blanco (66')
Clemente (24'), Linares (90+6')
Rodriguez (51')