Segunda Division | Gameweek 23
Jan 29, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio de La Romareda

Zaragoza
1 - 0
Ponferradina

Narvaez (41' pen.)
Eguaras (45+1'), Alegria (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Valcarce (15')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Real Zaragoza and Ponferradina.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 43.4%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 25.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.06%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Zaragoza in this match.

Result
Real ZaragozaDrawPonferradina
43.4%30.61%25.99%
Both teams to score 38.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.3%68.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.6%86.4%
Real Zaragoza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.23%31.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.8%68.2%
Ponferradina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.74%44.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.67%80.33%
Score Analysis
    Real Zaragoza 43.4%
    Ponferradina 25.99%
    Draw 30.61%
Real ZaragozaDrawPonferradina
1-0 @ 16.12%
2-0 @ 9.24%
2-1 @ 7.54%
3-0 @ 3.53%
3-1 @ 2.88%
3-2 @ 1.17%
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 43.4%
0-0 @ 14.06%
1-1 @ 13.14%
2-2 @ 3.07%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 30.61%
0-1 @ 11.46%
1-2 @ 5.36%
0-2 @ 4.67%
1-3 @ 1.46%
0-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 25.99%

How you voted: Zaragoza vs Ponferradina

Real Zaragoza
86.7%
Draw
6.7%
Ponferradina
6.7%
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