Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 41.77%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 27.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 2-1 (7.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.71%), while for a Real Zaragoza win it was 0-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sporting Gijon in this match.