Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 51.1%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 21.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.