Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 50.47%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 25.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 1-0 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Las Palmas in this match.