Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 58.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 17.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Racing de Santander win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.