Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 59.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Racing de Santander win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.