Segunda Division | Gameweek 9
Oct 8, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal de El Plantío
Alaves logo

Burgos
3 - 0
Alaves

Campos (53'), Munoz (80'), Curro (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Burgos and Alaves.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burgos

All competitions
Last Game: Villarreal II 0-0 Burgos
Saturday, October 1 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Alaves

All competitions
Last Game: Alaves 3-1 Ponferradina
Sunday, October 2 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.87%) and 2-1 (7.75%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (11.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burgos would win this match.

Result
BurgosDrawAlaves
39.7% (0.11 0.11)29.43% (0.068999999999999 0.07)30.86% (-0.183 -0.18)
Both teams to score 43% (-0.232 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.23% (-0.259 -0.26)63.77% (0.257 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.98% (-0.186 -0.19)83.02% (0.184 0.18)
Burgos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.62% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)31.38% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.25% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)67.74% (0.073000000000008 0.07)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.66% (-0.281 -0.28)37.34% (0.279 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.88% (-0.277 -0.28)74.12% (0.274 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Burgos 39.69%
    Alaves 30.86%
    Draw 29.42%
BurgosDrawAlaves
1-0 @ 13.57% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 7.87% (0.048 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.75% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.04% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.48% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 39.69%
1-1 @ 13.37%
0-0 @ 11.71% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 3.82% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29.42%
0-1 @ 11.54% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.59% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.69% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.16% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.87% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 30.86%

How you voted: Burgos vs Alaves

Burgos
0.0%
Draw
40.0%
Alaves
60.0%
5