Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 37.36%. A draw had a probability of 33% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 29.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.78%) and 2-1 (6.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.89%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (13.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 16.9% likelihood.