Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 44.92%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Oviedo in this match.

Result
Real Oviedo	Draw	Leganes
44.92% ( 0.05)	29.08% ( 0.21)	26% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 41.53% (

-0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.6% (

-0.75)

64.4% (

0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.53% (

-0.54)

83.46% (

0.54)

Real Oviedo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.26% (

-0.34)

28.74% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.42% (

-0.43)

64.58% (

0.43)

Leganes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.28% (

-0.66)

41.72% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.81% (

-0.59)

78.19% (

0.59)

Score Analysis

Real Oviedo 44.92%

Leganes 25.99%

Draw 29.08%

Real Oviedo	Draw	Leganes
1-0 @ 14.95% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.87% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.5% Total : 44.92%	1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.99% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.46% Total : 29.08%	0-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.18% Total : 25.99%