Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 54.11%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 21.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a UD Ibiza win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Oviedo would win this match.

Result
Real Oviedo	Draw	UD Ibiza
54.11% ( -0.43)	24.01% ( 0.09)	21.87% ( 0.34)

Both teams to score 51.28% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.33% (

49.67% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.31%

71.68% (

-0)

Real Oviedo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.73% (

-0.16)

18.26% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.68% (

-0.27)

49.31% (

0.27)

UD Ibiza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.74% (

0.33)

37.26% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.95% (

0.33)

74.05% (

-0.33)

Score Analysis

Real Oviedo 54.11%

UD Ibiza 21.87%

Draw 24.01%

Real Oviedo	Draw	UD Ibiza
1-0 @ 11.57% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.84% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 3.33% Total : 54.11%	1-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.81% 2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.01%	0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.67% Total : 21.87%