Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.88%) and 2-1 (7.49%). The likeliest Malaga win was 0-1 (12.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burgos in this match.

Result
Burgos	Draw	Malaga
39.18% ( 2.2)	30.12% ( -0.1)	30.7% ( -2.1)

Both teams to score 41.23% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.1% (

-0.02)

65.9% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.48% (

-0.01)

84.51% (

0.01)

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.2% (

1.38)

32.8% (

-1.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.64% (

1.51)

69.36% (

-1.51)

Malaga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.35% (

-1.59)

38.65% (

1.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.61% (

-1.55)

75.39% (

1.55)

Score Analysis

Burgos 39.18%

Malaga 30.7%

Draw 30.11%

Burgos	Draw	Malaga
1-0 @ 14.13% ( 0.54) 2-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.58) 2-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.24) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.65% Total : 39.18%	1-1 @ 13.43% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 12.67% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.45% Total : 30.11%	0-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.52) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.31) 0-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.51) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.57% Total : 30.7%