Segunda Division Gameweek 1
Aug 14, 2022 9.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de El Plantío
  • Juan Artola Canales 62' goal
  • Pablo Valcarce 68' yellowcard
  • Grego 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aleix Febas 71'

Burgos vs Malaga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Burgos

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
May 29, 2022 7.00pm
Burgos 0 - 0 Girona
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Curro

Malaga

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
May 28, 2022 5.15pm
Lugo 1 - 0 Malaga
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Ruben Castro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.88%) and 2-1 (7.49%). The likeliest Malaga win was 0-1 (12.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burgos in this match.

Result

Burgos 39.18% (+2.20)
Draw 30.12% (-0.10)
Malaga 30.7% (-2.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.23% (-0.20)

Goals

Over 2.5 34.1% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 65.9% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 15.48% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 84.51% (+0.02)

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5 67.2% (+1.39)
Under 0.5 32.8% (-1.39)
Over 1.5 30.64% (+1.52)
Under 1.5 69.36% (-1.52)

Malaga Goals

Over 0.5 61.35% (-1.59)
Under 0.5 38.65% (+1.60)
Over 1.5 24.61% (-1.55)
Under 1.5 75.39% (+1.55)

Score analysis

Burgos 39.18%
Draw 30.11%
Malaga 30.7%
Burgos
1-0 @ 14.13% (+0.55)
2-0 @ 7.88% (+0.58)
2-1 @ 7.49% (+0.25)
3-0 @ 2.93% (+0.32)
3-1 @ 2.78% (+0.19)
3-2 @ 1.32% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 39.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.43% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 12.67% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.56% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 30.11%
Malaga
0-1 @ 12.05% (-0.52)
1-2 @ 6.39% (-0.32)
0-2 @ 5.73% (-0.52)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.20)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.25)
2-3 @ 1.13% (-0.07)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 30.7%

Head to Head

Segunda Division Gameweek 41
May 21, 2022 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Mathieu Peybernes 81' yellowcard
  • goal Miguel Rubio 41'
  • yellowcard Unai Elgezabal 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Raul Navarro 67'
  • yellowcard Jose Antonio Caro 90'+4'
Segunda Division Gameweek 18
Nov 27, 2021 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Pablo Valcarce 17' goal
  • Alvaro Rodriguez 25' yellowcard
  • Juan Manuel Garcia 61' goal
  • Pablo Valcarce 67' goal