Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 56.14%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 18.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.05%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Zaragoza would win this match.

Result
Real Zaragoza	Draw	Villarreal II
56.14% ( -0.04)	25.76% ( 0)	18.1% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 41.14% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.77% (

0.03)

60.22% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.59% (

0.02)

80.41% (

-0.02)

Real Zaragoza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.4% (

-0.01)

21.59% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.3% (

-0.01)

54.69% (

0.01)

Villarreal II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.48% (

0.06)

47.52% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.12% (

0.05)

82.88% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Real Zaragoza 56.13%

Villarreal II 18.1%

Draw 25.75%

Real Zaragoza	Draw	Villarreal II
1-0 @ 15.72% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 12.05% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.36% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.76% 3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 56.13%	1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.45% Total : 25.75%	0-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 18.1%