Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 52.08%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 21.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 0-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.

Result
Sporting Gijon	Draw	Villarreal II
52.08%	26.33%	21.59% ( -0)

Both teams to score 44.38% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.41% (

-0)

58.59% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.85% (

-0.01)

79.15% (

Sporting Gijon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.36% (

-0)

22.64% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.73% (

-0)

56.27% (

Villarreal II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.37% (

-0)

42.63% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.02% (

-0)

78.98% (

Score Analysis

Sporting Gijon 52.07%

Villarreal II 21.59%

Draw 26.33%

Sporting Gijon	Draw	Villarreal II
1-0 @ 14.33% 2-0 @ 10.64% 2-1 @ 9.08% 3-0 @ 5.27% 3-1 @ 4.5% 4-0 @ 1.96% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.92% 4-1 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.7% Total : 52.07%	1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 9.65% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0) Other @ 0.59% Total : 26.33%	0-1 @ 8.23% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.21% 0-2 @ 3.51% 1-3 @ 1.48% 2-3 @ 1.1% 0-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.06% Total : 21.59%