Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Villarreal II had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Villarreal II win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Malaga	Draw	Villarreal II
42.55% ( -0)	27.67% ( 0)	29.78% ( 0)

Both teams to score 47.36% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.86% (

-0)

58.13% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.2%

78.79% (

Malaga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.98% (

-0)

27.01% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.63% (

-0)

62.37% (

Villarreal II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.89% (

35.1% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.15% (

71.85% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Malaga 42.55%

Villarreal II 29.78%

Draw 27.66%

Malaga	Draw	Villarreal II
1-0 @ 12.41% 2-1 @ 8.5% 2-0 @ 8.12% 3-1 @ 3.71% 3-0 @ 3.54% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.94% 4-1 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 1.95% Total : 42.55%	1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 9.48% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.66%	0-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.8% 0-2 @ 5.2% 1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.81% 2-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.12% Total : 29.78%