Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal II win with a probability of 45.19%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 27.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal II win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal II would win this match.

Result
Villarreal II	Draw	Lugo
45.19% ( -1.24)	27.74% ( 0.39)	27.07% ( 0.86)

Both teams to score 45.65% (

-0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.44% (

-0.88)

59.56% (

0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.1% (

-0.68)

79.9% (

0.68)

Villarreal II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.69% (

-1.02)

26.3% (

1.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.57% (

-1.38)

61.43% (

1.39)

Lugo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.95% (

0.25)

38.05% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.18% (

0.24)

74.81% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

Villarreal II 45.18%

Lugo 27.07%

Draw 27.73%

Villarreal II	Draw	Lugo
1-0 @ 13.36% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.1) Other @ 2% Total : 45.18%	1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 10% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.73%	0-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.63% Total : 27.07%