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Segunda Division | Gameweek 6
Sep 17, 2022 at 1pm UK
Ciudad Deportiva del Villarreal

Villarreal II
3 - 1
Lugo

Nino (35'), Lozano (52' pen.), Collado (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ramos (77')
Lozano (28'), Ramos (45+5'), Loureiro (52'), Torres (71')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Villarreal II and Lugo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Levante 4-1 Villarreal II
Saturday, September 10 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Lugo 1-2 Alaves
Saturday, September 10 at 1pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal II win with a probability of 45.19%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 27.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal II win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal II would win this match.

Result
Villarreal IIDrawLugo
45.19% (-1.244 -1.24) 27.74% (0.388 0.39) 27.07% (0.856 0.86)
Both teams to score 45.65% (-0.449 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.44% (-0.877 -0.88)59.56% (0.879 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.1% (-0.677 -0.68)79.9% (0.679 0.68)
Villarreal II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.69% (-1.02 -1.02)26.3% (1.021 1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.57% (-1.383 -1.38)61.43% (1.385 1.39)
Lugo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.95% (0.247 0.25)38.05% (-0.245 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.18% (0.237 0.24)74.81% (-0.236 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal II 45.18%
    Lugo 27.07%
    Draw 27.73%
Villarreal IIDrawLugo
1-0 @ 13.36% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.92% (-0.228 -0.23)
2-1 @ 8.62% (-0.162 -0.16)
3-0 @ 3.97% (-0.222 -0.22)
3-1 @ 3.84% (-0.188 -0.19)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.33% (-0.116 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.28% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 2%
Total : 45.18%
1-1 @ 12.91% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 10% (0.319 0.32)
2-2 @ 4.17% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 27.73%
0-1 @ 9.67% (0.378 0.38)
1-2 @ 6.24% (0.107 0.11)
0-2 @ 4.67% (0.213 0.21)
1-3 @ 2.01% (0.047 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.078 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 27.07%

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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Racing de SantanderRacing1811432516937
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4Real Oviedo199552824432
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6Levante188642922730
7Sporting GijonSporting Gijon188552618829
8CastellonCastellon198563023729
9Granada198563025529
10EibarEibar198381819-127
11Huesca187562619726
12Real ZaragozaZaragoza197572823526
13Albacete196672528-324
14Malaga1841131518-323
15Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo185672422221
16CadizCadiz195682228-621
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18Burgos186391624-821
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