Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal II win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal II win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal II would win this match.

Result
Villarreal II	Draw	Mirandes
43.9% ( -0.24)	26.95% ( 0.07)	29.15% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 49.09% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.22% (

-0.18)

55.77% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.09% (

-0.14)

76.91% (

0.15)

Villarreal II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.76% (

-0.2)

25.23% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.02% (

-0.28)

59.98% (

0.28)

Mirandes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.66% (

0.04)

34.33% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.96% (

0.05)

71.04% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Villarreal II 43.9%

Mirandes 29.15%

Draw 26.95%

Villarreal II	Draw	Mirandes
1-0 @ 11.93% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.21% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.34% Total : 43.9%	1-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.95%	0-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 29.15%