Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 37.29%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.51%) and 2-1 (7.04%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (12.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Zaragoza in this match.