Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 38.98%. A draw had a probability of 32.3% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 28.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.18%) and 2-1 (6.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.93%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.