Segunda Division | Gameweek 14
Nov 3, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal Cartagonova

Cartagena
2 - 1
Malaga

Ortuno (51'), Jansson (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gutierrez (60')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Cartagena and Malaga.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cartagena

All competitions
Last Game: Cartagena 0-0 Granada
Sunday, October 30 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Malaga

All competitions
Last Game: Malaga 0-1 Eibar
Sunday, October 30 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 48.91%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 24.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cartagena would win this match.

Result
CartagenaDrawMalaga
48.91% (0.37 0.37)26.41% (-0.182 -0.18)24.67% (-0.191 -0.19)
Both teams to score 47.41% (0.329 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.66% (0.51799999999999 0.52)56.34% (-0.52 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.63% (0.414 0.41)77.36% (-0.41800000000001 -0.42)
Cartagena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.91% (0.38799999999999 0.39)23.09% (-0.391 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.07% (0.568 0.57)56.93% (-0.57100000000001 -0.57)
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.64% (0.116 0.12)38.35% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.89% (0.111 0.11)75.11% (-0.114 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Cartagena 48.91%
    Malaga 24.68%
    Draw 26.4%
CartagenaDrawMalaga
1-0 @ 12.97% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-0 @ 9.51% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.058000000000002 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.65% (0.068 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.46% (0.079 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.045 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.7% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.63% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 48.91%
1-1 @ 12.43% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 8.85% (-0.178 -0.18)
2-2 @ 4.37% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.4%
0-1 @ 8.49% (-0.143 -0.14)
1-2 @ 5.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.07% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.9% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 24.68%

Head to Head
Feb 28, 2022 8pm
Malaga
1-1
Cartagena
Brandon (54')
Vadillo (7'), Escassi (45+1'), Chavarria (90+3')
Okazaki (90+5')
Datkovic (57')
Nov 7, 2021 5.15pm
Cartagena
3-1
Malaga
Castro (45' pen., 65'), Vazquez (54')
Andujar (5'), Neskes (90+3')
Peybernes (82')
Jimenez (9'), Rodriguez (37'), Gomez (43'), de la Fuente (61'), Peybernes (78')
Mar 27, 2021 7.30pm
Cartagena
1-1
Malaga
Cayarga (14')
Fornies (8'), de Blasis (51'), Navas (57')
Navas (90')
Jozabed (81')
Benitez Palomero (58'), Matos (62'), Munoz (65'), Martinez (77'), Rahmani (78')
Dec 5, 2020 7.30pm
Malaga
1-2
Cartagena
Martinez (17' og.)
Munoz (42'), Rahmani (90'), Martinez (90+3')
Gallar (29'), De la Bella (58')
Gil (9'), de la Bella (80'), Claveria (89')