Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 51.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Granada had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.