Segunda Division | Gameweek 11
Oct 16, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal Cartagonova

Cartagena
2 - 0
UD Ibiza

Calero (51'), Sadiku (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Cartagena and UD Ibiza.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tenerife 0-0 Cartagena
Wednesday, October 12 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: UD Ibiza 1-2 Eibar
Thursday, October 13 at 6pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 53.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 21.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a UD Ibiza win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cartagena would win this match.

Result
CartagenaDrawUD Ibiza
53.45% (-1.366 -1.37)24.74% (0.61 0.61)21.81% (0.763 0.76)
Both teams to score 49.06% (-0.776 -0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.42% (-1.55 -1.55)52.58% (1.559 1.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.77% (-1.345 -1.35)74.23% (1.352 1.35)
Cartagena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.37% (-1.12 -1.12)19.63% (1.126 1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.41% (-1.861 -1.86)51.59% (1.867 1.87)
UD Ibiza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.04% (-0.11000000000001 -0.11)38.96% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.32% (-0.105 -0.11)75.68% (0.11199999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Cartagena 53.44%
    UD Ibiza 21.81%
    Draw 24.73%
CartagenaDrawUD Ibiza
1-0 @ 12.45% (0.33 0.33)
2-0 @ 10.13% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-0 @ 5.5% (-0.252 -0.25)
3-1 @ 5.19% (-0.255 -0.26)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.129 -0.13)
4-0 @ 2.24% (-0.188 -0.19)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.184 -0.18)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 53.44%
1-1 @ 11.73% (0.27 0.27)
0-0 @ 7.65% (0.46 0.46)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 24.73%
0-1 @ 7.21% (0.413 0.41)
1-2 @ 5.53% (0.11 0.11)
0-2 @ 3.4% (0.184 0.18)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.07% (0.055 0.06)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 21.81%

Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 5.15pm
UD Ibiza
2-1
Cartagena
Angel Guerrero (23' pen.), Herrera (76' pen.)
Angel Guerrero (49')
Dauda (45+1')
Buffarini (73'), Tejera (84'), Alcala (90+6'), Gallar (90+6')
Oct 10, 2021 3pm
Cartagena
5-1
UD Ibiza
Castro (24' pen., 43' pen.), Dauda (29'), Okazaki (57'), Delmas (62')
Andujar (49')
Nono (90')
Galvez (42')
Galvez (85')
rhs 2.0


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