Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 53.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 21.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a UD Ibiza win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cartagena would win this match.